Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.020846 0.022388 0.023993 0.025790 0.027748 0.029819 0.032179
2024-10-13 0.018113 0.020310 0.022716 0.025553 0.028818 0.032469 0.036877
2024-10-20 0.016055 0.018583 0.021456 0.024981 0.029208 0.034144 0.040381
2024-10-27 0.014943 0.017753 0.021048 0.025224 0.030412 0.036696 0.044959
2024-11-03 0.013952 0.016942 0.020540 0.025229 0.031234 0.038743 0.048964
2024-11-10 0.013273 0.016436 0.020332 0.025538 0.032392 0.041217 0.053624
2024-11-17 0.012436 0.015658 0.019709 0.025240 0.032697 0.042550 0.056804
2024-11-24 0.011782 0.015065 0.019269 0.025126 0.033203 0.044137 0.060391
2024-12-01 0.011116 0.014409 0.018698 0.024783 0.033346 0.045199 0.063265
2024-12-08 0.010664 0.014010 0.018437 0.024832 0.034014 0.047006 0.067309
2024-12-15 0.010123 0.013457 0.017933 0.024502 0.034105 0.047965 0.070123
2024-12-22 0.009574 0.012864 0.017340 0.024004 0.033908 0.048468 0.072241
2024-12-29 0.009143 0.012421 0.016939 0.023768 0.034091 0.049558 0.075374
2025-01-05 0.008742 0.011999 0.016547 0.023521 0.034236 0.050588 0.078475
2025-01-12 0.008287 0.011481 0.015991 0.022995 0.033916 0.050861 0.080327
2025-01-19 0.008081 0.011312 0.015933 0.023213 0.034757 0.053010 0.085467
2025-01-26 0.007829 0.011064 0.015745 0.023218 0.035252 0.054616 0.089779
2025-02-02 0.007668 0.010942 0.015737 0.023498 0.036197 0.057011 0.095644
2025-02-09 0.007374 0.010608 0.015393 0.023227 0.036220 0.057847 0.098747
2025-02-16 0.007140 0.010357 0.015163 0.023125 0.036511 0.059150 0.102791
2025-02-23 0.006870 0.010038 0.014816 0.022813 0.036429 0.059790 0.105625
2025-03-02 0.006698 0.009866 0.014690 0.022858 0.036954 0.061525 0.110676
2025-03-09 0.006458 0.009576 0.014367 0.022559 0.036863 0.062142 0.113572